Editorial Part II:  Who’s Behind the “Recall Charles Allen” Campaign?

Editorial Part II:  Who’s Behind the “Recall Charles Allen” Campaign?

by Larry Janezich

Posted March 21, 2024

Proponents of the “Recall Charles Allen” campaign characterize it as a grass roots effort.  The list of initial donors simply does not bear that out. 

As I discuss below, the list of major donors (defined as giving $100 or more) is overwhelmingly comprised of people who work professionally in national politics or who are identifiable Republicans, or both.  Many people in Ward 6 fall into one or both of these categories.  But the great many more Ward 6 residents who do not are simply just not on the list of $100+ donors.

What accounts for the heavy presence of political professionals and local Republicans on the donor list?  Are they concerned about, but unable to persuasively debate, crime policy in DC?  It’s possible.  But other possibilities exist as well, and I examined the list for indications of these. 

Who benefits or has a stake in recalling Allen?  The list includes congressional and other Republicans who want to show that blue cities can’t manage themselves effectively; Mayor Bowser, who desperately wants the new Commanders stadium that Allen opposes; the DC Police Union, members of which resent Allen’s police reforms; Eric Goulet –  Director of the DC Committee on Health and former Ward 3 City Council candidate who resents Allen’s endorsement of his then-opponent Matt Frumin, and who has been active on social media in support of the recall; the fossil fuel industry – including Washington Gas – which is intensely opposed to Allen’s Healthy Home Act; and lobbyists and political groups using private residences near the Capitol for corporate and/or fundraising receptions contrary to applicable zoning, something Allen has recently been more active in curbing.  

To explore each of these possibilities, CHC examined the initial donor filing.  DC Campaign Finance Law requires filing an initial list of donors by January 31st, but disclosure of additional donor info is not required until July 31st.  For the period from January 12 to January 31, the recall campaign raised $56,000 from 400 donors. 

Of the 400 names on the list, 205 people donated $100 or more, up to the maximum of $500.  Those donations account for 90 % of the $56,000 total, averaging $238 per donation.  The following analysis is confined to this influential group of “big” donors.  (A handful of donors contributed more than once, which explains why the following numbers total 209.)

  • 22 were non-DC residents ($259 average donation)
  • 75 were DC residents but not Ward 6 ($216 average donation)
  • 112 were Ward 6 residents (average donation $250)

My first and most important observation about the big donor list is that the recall is thoroughly political.  That might sound like an obvious point, but in this case I’m not just characterizing the effort, I’m characterizing the donor list. 

The majority (72%) of the 205 in the $100 or more group work professionally in national politics:  lobbyists, consultants, fundraisers, congressional employees, etc.  I’ll call this subgroup the “professional pols.”  Notably, they averaged a substantially higher donation ($251).  It is no exaggeration to say that they are the initial contributors and driving force behind the recall effort. 

Professional pols in the $100 + group were soon joined by a second kind of donor in the $100 + group:  local (DC or Virginia) Republicans.  To some extent, the 41 identifiable Republicans overlapped with professional pols, but many did not.  As a group, identifiable local Republicans donated less money ($213 average).  A separate analysis https://bit.ly/4aoqD9n conducted by Alex Koma of the Washington City Paper found that “nearly half” of the entire list of initial donors could be identified as Republicans or tied to the Republican party.  Koma says the donor’s list includes current and former staff members for former Presidents Trump and G.W. Bush, former Speakers of the House Boehner, Hastert, and McCarthy, and current Senators Cotton, Grassley, Romney and Scott. 

The story that the data describe is a straightforward one:  the professional political class launched and largely funded the recall effort, then localRepublicans and others jumped in seeing an opportunity for advancing their own political message. 

It is easy to explain the political motivation oflocal Republicans looking to exploit the recall effort.  More difficult to assess is the motivation of the professional pol group.  The range of professional pols drawn to the recall effort defies any partisan, ideological, or interest group generalization. 

In fact, it is the sheer number and diversity of “lobbyists,” “consultants,” “fundraisers,” and “strategists” – and, likewise, the nearly total absence of people who are neither professional pols nor identifiable Republicans – that tells us something. 

One issue that many lobbyists, corporations, and politicians on both sides of the political spectrum have in common: opposition to Allen’s attempt to crack down on corporate uses of Capitol Hill townhomes for fundraisers. 

Professional political fundraisers play an important role in the recall campaign.  Tonya Fulkerson, co-founder of Democratic fundraising powerhouse “FK& Company,” one of whose clients is the Senate Majority PAC, has been a vocal presence in the recall effort.  She is the first donor listed following the group’s leader, Jennifer Squires, and her son Alex.  Fulkerson, her partner Ashley Kennedy, and Kennedy’s husband Sean account for $1500 of the fundraising total. 

When discussing the recall effort, Fulkerson cites a shooting https://bit.ly/4cr976o  that took place on her block a year ago.  Police reportedly searched for four juvenile assailants.  But this leaves some questions unanswered, since nothing in Charles Allen’s record would interfere with the ability of police to apprehend those responsible for the shooting or the ability of prosecutors to charge them.  At most, if a judge decided that any of those offenders were eligible for the Youth Rehabilitation Act, then those able to seal their record after successful completion of a sentence would be far less likely to re-offend.

In terms of the political fundraiser explanation, it is also noteworthy that the employer that accounts for the most donations is “814 Consulting,” an equally high-profile Republican fundraising outfit based in Virginia, whose clients include Representative James Comer, (R-KY) who chairs the House DC Oversight Committee (which recently brokered legislation on RFK stadium) and Representative Brett Gutherie (R-KY) chair of the House Energy and Environment Committee. 

As for other possible explanations for the strangely political big donor list, I examined the pool of $100 plus donors for local DC powerbrokers, particularly anyone with connections to Mayor Muriel Bowser, the Federal City Council, and Opportunity DC.  A number of people who could not be categorized as professional pols or identifiable Republicans were local real estate developers with a record of donations to Mayor Bowser.  However, almost any local developer will have a record of donating to Mayor Bowser.  Interestingly, the developers who donated to the recall effort tended to be smaller in scale and known for remodeling residential properties, not the big-time developers who sit on the Federal City Council or donate to Opportunity DC.  I did not see any real connection between the recall effort and the bigger players in DC politics.

But there was one notable exception:  Russell “Rusty” Lindner, executive chair and CEO of The Forge Company, owner of Colonial Parking.  The Forge Company contributes heavily to Opportunity DC, most recently in the news as the Super PAC (or Independent Expenditure Committee) that helped Kenyan McDuffie defeat Councilmember-at-Large Elissa Silverman, and which late last year also launched a soft-on-crime mail campaign aimed at Ward 4 Councilmember Janeese Lewis George.  Lindner also sits on the powerful and prestigious Federal City Council, despite his past involvement in the pay-to-play corruption investigation of former Councilmember Jack Evans. 

Lindner does not appear on the donor list, but two of his children contributed $500 each to the effort:  Blake Lindner (misspelled as “Linder” on the filing) of New York City, and Rebecca Lindner Clarkson (nee Lindner, listed as “Rebecca Clarkson” on the filing) of Atlantic Beach, Florida.  It seems obvious that two children of a DC power broker who live in New York City and Florida can only have a marginal interest in a recall effort.  These donations seem more likely to track back to “Rusty” Lindner himself.  If so, then it is also worth noting that Colonial Parking owns the parking around the DC Armory on the RFK campus. 

To date, Councilmember Allen has been adamant in opposing conversion of RFK to an NFL stadium for the Washington Commanders, as are several other Councilmembers, on the grounds that NFL stadiums cost a lot of money but deliver little in return.   On the other hand, Mayor Bowser strongly supports the move, as does much of the DC business establishment.  There seem to be clear indications that the possible selection of the RFK site for the Washington Commanders might benefit Colonial Parking.  It will be worth following subsequent donor lists for connections to Opportunity DC, the Federal City Council, and Mayor Bowser.  Equally, it is worth knowing more about the donors to the seemingly well-funded recall launched against Brianne Nadeau. 

Also relevant to the stadium explanation is the fact that, at a March 2 news conference, when the Mayor was asked to address the recall efforts aimed at both councilmembers, she replied, “I don’t have anything to say about that.” 

In all, the initial filing of the recall effort reveals an attempt to rough Allen up for political reasons, capitalizing on the growing neighborhood concern over crime without contributing anything constructive to the conversation of what to do about it. 

If recall proponents object to being second-guessed regarding their motivations, they should offer better reasoning for the recall.  As I showed in Part I of this editorial, that has just not happened yet.      

The city of Washington DC, and this neighborhood, continues to struggle with crime.  But if you’re not talking about evidence-based policies on crime, it’s just politics.  And that does not deserve my support or signature. 

If anyone wants to investigate other possible explanations for the recall, here’s a link to donor list:  https://bit.ly/3ISowPj

16 Comments

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16 responses to “Editorial Part II:  Who’s Behind the “Recall Charles Allen” Campaign?

  1. Maggie Hall

    This two-parter on the recall bid is Pulitzer Prize worthy.

  2. T. Maxwell

    Thank you for this article. I was already wondering if this was all related to the stadium, because the only recall efforts are against Allen and Nadeau, and they are the ones who vocally oppose taxpayer funding for a billionaire’s football stadium, which I definitely don’t support.

  3. Duh

    Occam’s razor: the simple explanation is preferable to the more complex.
    There’s no grand conspiracy here.
    These people live and work in DC. They are frightened for themselves and their families about the crime wave. And they are mad about Charles Allen’s soft-on-crime approach and blame him for what is currently going on.

    • Jennisey

      I can’t help but agree. This town is full of powerful politicos – Are they not allowed to vote or donate? I don’t doubt that others may benefit from his ousting, but it doesn’t mean the grievances voiced by the people running the campaign isn’t how they really feel.
      I felt Part 1 of this article was good because it tried to explain why the campaign against Allen could be wrong, but I think (Part 2) making the donors seem illegitimate based on their career or what Ward they live in is unfair. Crime in DC grew in every Ward. Allen was the head of the Cmte on the Judiciary and Public Safety for all of DC, not just Ward 6.
      PS I’m not a politico nor did I donate to the Recall, but I don’t think the way the campaign has been described has been fair. Ill-conceived, fine. Nefarious, no 

    • T

      They may well be frightened but have not–in months–offered a better, or even logical explanation of the desire for recall.
      You’re almost there: this is an appeal to emotion, and their inability to support their assertions connecting legislation to crime rates is problematic. The subsequent shift to “well, we just want to make Allen nervous” (or whatever the backup reasoning has evolved to) acknowledges flimsy reasoning as well.

      • Jennisey

        When their spokesman, Rich Masters, was quoted as saying, “This is not about Charles Allen” that said everything. They’ve said it would be a message to the Council, but it already passed SECURE 2.0 and there was momentum to pass it before the Recall started. The recall campaign blames Allen for policies that increased crime – I don’t. But I do blame him for not being aggressive enough in trying to reduce crime a la Brooke Pinto.

  4. Nancy Sturm

    Excellent investigative reporting! Outstanding!

  5. Raiford Gaffney

    Thank you so much for the analysis and reporting. I’ve lived in the DMV for 60 years except for 2 years in San Diego. I moved back into the City 30 years for a retirement home – the first priority was to walk to Metro. I love DC, Capitol Hill, and my home. About 15 years ago I realized that I and many choose to live in DC – knowing what we give up with no vote in Congress. I’m proud to be a retired Public Servant but am willing to give up the vote in order to live in DC. What does that say for my opinion of Congress, especially today?

  6. Thoughts

    Eric Goulet isn’t currently the Director of the Committee on Health.

  7. charlesra05be7b8350

    Thank you Larry for all that you do.  
    In my opinion, the YRA is a ‘red herring’, as the analysis points out, very few qualify.  However, it is worth noting that other states which have implemented YRA legislation (New York, Illinois, Louisana) have done so after addressing truancy and developing their juvenile justice system and detention capacity.  Passing YRA without addressing these first is very much ‘putting the cart before the horse’.  
    https://ojjdp.ojp.gov/publications/2022-national-report-ch4.pdf
    I support the Charles Allen recall effort not for the reasons you list, but because the city council are not addressing the root causes of the problems and Charles Allen is my Council Member  
    https://www.billtrack50.com/legislatordetail/20864.    
    As you point out (in part one), DC’s current chronic school absenteeism and truancy rate are among the worst in the country and “clearly bears a relation to crimes committed by school-age young people.” Furthermore, the DC juvenile justice system is severely under capacity to the point that judges are forced to release juvenile offenders back into the custody of their parents. 
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2023/11/02/carjackings-prompt-finger-pointing-criticisms-among-dc-officials/   
    The article you link to concerning truancy even underscores that the city’s leaders don’t know how to address the problem.
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/education/2023/12/20/dc-truancy-chronic-absenteeism/ 
    We are moving backward, DC as the nation’s capital should be a showcase for good governance.  Restaurants and businesses are leaving DC, people feel unsafe and afraid to be on the streets even in broad daylight. DC ranks  2nd highest in per-pupil spending, it should have some of the best schools; instead, it has among the worst in the nation. 
    https://www.militaryspouse.com/military-life/pcs/washington-dc-schools-worst-in-america/
    “D.C.’s Report Card
    Suffice it to say, the District didn’t fare too well against the rest of the country. Only Alabama, West Virginia, Mississippi, Arizona, Louisiana and New Mexico ranked worse overall.
    D.C. ranked a 43 out of 51 for Quality and a 48 for Safety.
    In the following key metrics, D.C. ranked near the bottom:
    Highest Dropout Rate: 50thLowest Math Test Score: 50thLowest Reading Test Score: 51stLowest Median SAT Score: 51stHighest Percentage of Threatened/Injured HS Students: 42nd
    I hope Charles Allen (and the council) can show progress not just on crime, but lower truancy, higher standardized test scores for kids, businesses moving back into the district. I don’t plan on signing the petition until August and so Charles has an opportunity to convince me and my neighbors there isn’t a need for a special election.  

    • Jerry Sroufe 6B02

      Cui bono?
      Who benefits from the recall activity is the question and the Capitol Hill Corner has done a great service in its examination of the question and in exploring plausible answers.
      A similar analysis of the funding behind the recall campaign aimed at Council Member Nadeau will add much to our understanding. Apparently, CHC is the one to take on this task. — even though a bit off Capitol Hill.
      Jerry Sroufe

  8. Bobbi

    Totally agree with Maggie and Nancy–Pulitzer worthy.  Thank you Larry, for your continued incisive writing.  We are all in your debt.
    As for the issues, I would defer to credentialed criminal justice experts for policy advice, but point out that most of these initiatives were supported by the city council and the mayor.

  9. W

    Never signing this BS recall sham, but absolutely would sign a recall effort for Bowser. Can she at least have mercy on the District and term limit herself?

  10. Bar Rich

    Agree with Maggie Hall, this is Pulitzer worthy work. Thank you for all the time and effort, Larry. A tremendous service to Ward 6! Suspicious me thought “somebody” wanted Allen’s job. After reading CHC, must conclude the motivation is first to remove him. Have looked at the donor list in detail. Sadly, in my opinion well-intended Ward 6 folks are being used by a load of lobbyists (I was one, so am not biased, just familiar.) for their own twisted reasons. Recalling Allen is unlikely to reduce crime in any event. As is often said, “Follow the money.” 

  11. Robert Zakin

    Finally. A lucid, orderly, and well researched article about this unsound attempt at dismissing democratic principle. The final line says it all, that the recall supporters whine about crime without offering “anything to the conversation of what to do about it.

  12. muskellunge

    I didn’t see much recognition from the DC Council about rising crime, until the recall rumblings started organizing, around the end of last summer.
    1.The money behind this effort may be based on horse-race politics, and
    2. the justifications given for it may be flawed,
    but if they get enough signatures, all of that becomes moot. Enough voters are unsatisfied (for any number of reasons) and may request a recall election, and they have the right to demand it.
    Personnally I see this as good news — DC has been a single party town ever since it was granted home rule. Moreover, the W6 seat has been locked ever since Sharon Ambrose had it. A little competition is needed.